The Recipe for Accuracy

An Infographic on Data Signals for Food Demand Sensing

What is Demand Sensing?

It's the art and science of listening to the market in near real-time. Instead of just relying on past sales, demand sensing tunes into a wide variety of digital signals to create highly accurate short-term forecasts. For the food industry, this means less waste, fuller shelves, and happier customers.

By understanding subtle shifts in consumer behavior as they happen, companies can adjust their supply chains dynamically.

40% Reduction in Forecast Errors

Companies using demand sensing can drastically improve their forecast accuracy for the upcoming 1-4 weeks.

The Spectrum of Signals

A diverse range of data provides a holistic view of consumer demand.

Point-of-Sale (POS) Data

The gold standard. Real-time checkout data shows what's selling, where, and when.

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Social Media Trends

Viral recipes on TikTok or health trends on Instagram are powerful leading indicators of demand spikes.

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Weather Forecasts

Predicts demand for weather-sensitive items like ice cream, soup, and BBQ supplies.

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Promotional Calendars

Internal data on upcoming sales or marketing campaigns helps predict planned demand lifts.

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Search Engine Queries

Rising searches for "vegan cheese" or "quick dinner ideas" signal shifting consumer interest.

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Retailer Inventory

Knowing partner stock levels helps prevent stockouts and optimize replenishment orders.

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Impact on the Supply Chain

Here’s how a real-time signal, like a viral recipe trend, can refine the forecast and trigger actions across the supply chain to meet sudden demand.

Supply Chain Response

1. Procurement

Signal triggers increased orders for raw ingredients from suppliers.

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2. Manufacturing

Production schedules are adjusted to increase output of the trending product.

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3. Distribution

Logistics are prioritized to move more product to high-demand regions.

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4. Retail

Stores increase shelf stock to avoid empty spaces and lost sales.

Forecast vs. Reality

The demand-sensed forecast more accurately tracks actual sales, reducing the gap that leads to stockouts or overstocking.

How to Procure Signals

Data can be acquired through various channels, each suited for different types of signals.

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APIs & Direct Feeds

Automated connections to services for real-time data like weather, social media analytics, or retailer data platforms.

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Syndicated Data Providers

Companies like Nielsen and IRI offer paid subscriptions to comprehensive POS, consumer panel, and market trend data.

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Direct Retail Partnerships

Collaborating with retailers to share inventory and sales data provides a highly granular and accurate signal.